Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Colton 54.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stepan
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stepan
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
56.1% (173)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.3% (16)
-56.3%
On power play, Colton has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Colton is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Stepan
Colton
Home
57.7% (213)
55.3% (94)
Away
50.7% (209)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Stepan
Colton
P1
56.3%
48.1%
P2
48.9%
62.5%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |