Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Stepan
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Stepan
Getzlaf
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
4
Stepan
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Getzlaf
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
6
Stepan
Getzlaf
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
50.6% (1,060)
-7.1%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
48.3% (118)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
54.9% (71)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Stepan
Getzlaf
Home
45.6% (629)
51.9% (622)
Away
42.5% (603)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Stepan
Getzlaf
P1
44.7%
49.4%
P2
43.7%
53.1%
P3
43.9%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |