Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 38-23 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Stepan
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
38
(61 meetings)
23
38
Stepan
Getzlaf
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
9
13
Stepan
Getzlaf
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
8
14
Stepan
Getzlaf
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
6
11
Stepan
Getzlaf
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.6% (10,258)
-3.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.9% (1,381)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.8% (1,055)
-0.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Stepan
Getzlaf
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Stepan
Getzlaf
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
45.6%
50.4%
P3
46.8%
49.7%
OT
40.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |