Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stepan
Getzlaf
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
52.5% (772)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.8% (153)
-60.8%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
48.0% (100)
+16.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Stepan
Getzlaf
Home
54.5% (222)
56.0% (557)
Away
57.2% (222)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Stepan
Getzlaf
P1
57.5%
52.2%
P2
54.7%
53.0%
P3
55.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%