Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Strome 47.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 56.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Stepan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Strome
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Stepan
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Stepan
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
46.2% (234)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
60.0% (40)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
37.8% (45)
+5.2%
On power play, Strome has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Strome is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Stepan
Strome
Home
45.6% (629)
49.6% (137)
Away
42.5% (603)
44.5% (182)
By Period
Stepan
Strome
P1
44.7%
56.8%
P2
43.7%
43.5%
P3
43.9%
42.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |