Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Strome 44.4% (+10.5%)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 52.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stepan
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
43.0% (788)
+12.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
47.9% (96)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
50.0% (34)
+0.8%
On power play, Strome has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Stepan
Strome
Home
57.7% (213)
42.6% (486)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Stepan
Strome
P1
56.3%
41.0%
P2
48.9%
47.8%
P3
57.1%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%