Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 82.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Stepan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Stepan
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
44.1% (749)
+10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.2% (52)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
52.9% (17)
+11.8%
On power play, Strome has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Stepan
Strome
Home
54.5% (222)
45.1% (441)
Away
57.2% (222)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Stepan
Strome
P1
57.5%
42.9%
P2
54.7%
44.4%
P3
55.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |