Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Gagner 43.8% (+23.9%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stepan
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
31.0% (29)
+24.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
29.4% (17)
-29.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Gagner is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Stepan
Gagner
Home
57.7% (213)
36.8% (19)
Away
50.7% (209)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Stepan
Gagner
P1
56.3%
27.8%
P2
48.9%
15.4%
P3
57.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%