Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Couturier 47.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 77.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Stepan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stepan
Couturier
Last 9: Stepan 3-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Stepan
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Stepan
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
47.4% (639)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
54.2% (24)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
44.0% (134)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Couturier is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couturier
Home
45.6% (463)
46.9% (446)
Away
43.3% (404)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Stepan
Couturier
P1
50.2%
42.5%
P2
39.4%
47.1%
P3
45.7%
51.6%
OT
38.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |