Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.6%). Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Couturier 54.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 57.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 58.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Stepan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stepan
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
57.4% (303)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
65.5% (55)
-65.5%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
40.0% (70)
+24.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +65.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couturier
Home
54.5% (222)
54.3% (219)
Away
57.2% (222)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Stepan
Couturier
P1
57.5%
53.2%
P2
54.7%
54.8%
P3
55.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |