Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 55 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 94-65 in 159 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 75.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 87.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Stepan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
94
(159 meetings)
65
94
Stepan
Couturier
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
31
19
Stepan
Couturier
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
14
41
Stepan
Couturier
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
20
34
Stepan
Couturier
54 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
52.5% (11,063)
-6.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
59.7% (1,280)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.5% (1,816)
-4.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couturier
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Stepan
Couturier
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
45.6%
52.6%
P3
46.8%
52.9%
OT
40.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |