Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Stepan wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Couturier 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 21-3 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 73.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Stepan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
21
(24 meetings)
3
21
Stepan
Couturier
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Stepan
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
9
Stepan
Couturier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
9
Stepan
Couturier
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
47.4% (1,052)
-3.9%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
54.7% (95)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
50.3% (183)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Stepan shoots right. Couturier is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Stepan
Couturier
Home
45.6% (629)
48.3% (658)
Away
42.5% (603)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Stepan
Couturier
P1
44.7%
50.1%
P2
43.7%
45.5%
P3
43.9%
49.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |