Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Stepan
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Stepan
Kuraly
Last 9: Stepan 8-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
0
Stepan
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
46.0% (661)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
77.8% (9)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
47.1% (51)
+0.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Kuraly is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuraly
Home
48.2% (761)
47.2% (335)
Away
47.3% (789)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Stepan
Kuraly
P1
46.3%
47.1%
P2
50.4%
44.6%
P3
46.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |