Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stepan
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Stepan
Kuraly
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
13
5
Stepan
Kuraly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
11
Stepan
Kuraly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
3
Stepan
Kuraly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.5% (5,141)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
56.0% (100)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.2% (1,086)
+0.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuraly
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Stepan
Kuraly
P1
47.5%
51.1%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
40.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |