Derek Stepan vs Sean Kuraly

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Derek Stepan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stepan 53.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor Stepan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Stepan 84.1%
Defensive zone Kuraly 72.6%
Neutral zone Stepan 55.5%
Result Derek Stepan favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Stepan Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 5 (12 meetings)
7
5
Stepan Kuraly
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Kuraly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Stepan Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan Kuraly
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stepan
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.2% (901)
+6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
68.2% (22)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
49.8% (219)
+1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +68.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuraly
Home
57.7% (213)
51.7% (603)
Away
50.7% (209)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Stepan
Kuraly
P1
56.3%
50.9%
P2
48.9%
49.5%
P3
57.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%
55.5%
54.3%
Kuraly
64.0%
57.0%
49.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 7, 2023 1 02:57 Offensive Sean Kuraly
Oct 12, 2022 3 19:48 Neutral Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 3 03:38 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Oct 12, 2022 3 01:36 Offensive Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 2 18:30 Neutral Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 2 12:45 Offensive Sean Kuraly
Oct 12, 2022 2 08:10 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Oct 12, 2022 2 05:12 Neutral Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 2 03:00 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Oct 12, 2022 2 00:17 Offensive Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 1 16:01 Offensive Derek Stepan
Oct 12, 2022 1 10:13 Defensive Derek Stepan