Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 79.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Stepan
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Kuraly
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Stepan
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
54.5% (464)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
0.0% (1)
+48.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
50.0% (66)
-1.7%
On power play, Stepan has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Kuraly is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuraly
Home
48.6% (666)
52.3% (281)
Away
46.1% (710)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Stepan
Kuraly
P1
46.3%
56.0%
P2
50.7%
60.8%
P3
45.5%
44.3%
OT
39.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |