Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Monahan 51.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Stepan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stepan
Monahan
Last 8: Stepan 2-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Stepan
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Stepan
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
52.1% (1,301)
-5.5%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
50.3% (342)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
38.5% (96)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Stepan
Monahan
Home
47.7% (555)
52.7% (875)
Away
45.6% (548)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Stepan
Monahan
P1
46.4%
51.0%
P2
45.7%
51.8%
P3
48.5%
50.9%
OT
35.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |