Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 55.1%). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stepan
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
54.5% (231)
+0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.2% (67)
-58.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
52.2% (23)
-1.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Stepan
Monahan
Home
57.7% (213)
53.5% (144)
Away
50.7% (209)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Stepan
Monahan
P1
56.3%
52.5%
P2
48.9%
50.9%
P3
57.1%
60.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%