Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Aho 52.2% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stepan
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
51.6% (819)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.4% (173)
-58.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
46.3% (67)
+18.4%
On power play, Aho has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Stepan
Aho
Home
54.5% (222)
53.9% (568)
Away
57.2% (222)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Stepan
Aho
P1
57.5%
55.4%
P2
54.7%
51.2%
P3
55.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%