Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Aho 73.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Stepan
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
48.5% (778)
+6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
63.4% (191)
-63.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
50.8% (65)
+0.0%
On power play, Aho has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Stepan
Aho
Home
57.7% (213)
51.3% (530)
Away
50.7% (209)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Stepan
Aho
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
51.3%
P3
57.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%