Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 74 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Crosby 53.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 133-108 in 241 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 81.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 83.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 82.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Stepan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
108
-
133
(241 meetings)
108
133
Stepan
Crosby
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
23
51
Stepan
Crosby
74 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
40
27
Stepan
Crosby
67 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
45
55
Stepan
Crosby
100 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.4% (4,733)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.1% (765)
-2.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Stepan
Crosby
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Stepan
Crosby
P1
47.5%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
53.9%
P3
46.8%
53.3%
OT
40.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |