Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 73.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Stepan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stepan
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Stepan
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Stepan
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
50.8% (1,169)
+3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.2% (261)
-60.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.0% (20)
+19.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +60.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Stepan
Crosby
Home
54.5% (222)
53.2% (726)
Away
57.2% (222)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Stepan
Crosby
P1
57.5%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
52.1%
P3
55.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |