Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Crosby 53.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 88.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 87.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 88.2%
11.8%
88.2%
Stepan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Stepan
Crosby
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Stepan
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
2
Stepan
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
8
3
Stepan
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
52.4% (594)
-4.4%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
57.9% (178)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
62.9% (62)
-21.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Crosby is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Stepan
Crosby
Home
47.4% (460)
54.6% (421)
Away
44.5% (517)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Stepan
Crosby
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
38.4%
52.5%
P3
49.4%
54.6%
OT
27.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |