Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Oshie 45.4% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 90.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Stepan
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
57.7% (26)
-3.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
41.3% (138)
-41.3%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
0.0% (5)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Oshie is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Stepan
Oshie
Home
54.5% (222)
41.0% (78)
Away
57.2% (222)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Stepan
Oshie
P1
57.5%
42.6%
P2
54.7%
41.9%
P3
55.9%
41.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%