Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Blueger 45.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 65.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 52.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Stepan
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Stepan
Blueger
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
0
Stepan
Blueger
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Stepan
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
48.1% (653)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
29.6% (27)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
38.1% (210)
+7.1%
On power play, Stepan has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Blueger is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Stepan
Blueger
Home
50.4% (560)
45.5% (473)
Away
45.1% (637)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Stepan
Blueger
P1
47.4%
48.0%
P2
47.0%
44.9%
P3
48.1%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |