Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Blueger 52.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 58.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Stepan
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
53.9% (529)
+0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
50.4% (137)
+14.3%
On power play, Blueger has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Blueger is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Stepan
Blueger
Home
54.5% (222)
54.3% (335)
Away
57.2% (222)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Stepan
Blueger
P1
57.5%
50.3%
P2
54.7%
55.2%
P3
55.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |