Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Boyd 45.8% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Boyd 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.2%
Neutral zone
Boyd 51.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Stepan
Boyd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
45.9% (784)
+8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
43.2% (81)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
40.3% (62)
+24.4%
On power play, Boyd has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Stepan
Boyd
Home
54.5% (222)
45.1% (501)
Away
57.2% (222)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Stepan
Boyd
P1
57.5%
45.9%
P2
54.7%
44.6%
P3
55.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%