Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Boyd 43.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 79.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Stepan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Boyd
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Stepan
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
43.4% (893)
+11.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
51.5% (136)
-51.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
34.6% (127)
+16.2%
On power play, Boyd has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Stepan
Boyd
Home
57.7% (213)
46.0% (570)
Away
50.7% (209)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Stepan
Boyd
P1
56.3%
38.9%
P2
48.9%
50.4%
P3
57.1%
41.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |