Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 89.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 82.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Stepan
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Bozak
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Stepan
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
54.2% (962)
-15.6%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
57.9% (266)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
52.1% (188)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stepan is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Stepan shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bozak
Home
39.0% (364)
58.6% (732)
Away
38.0% (355)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Stepan
Bozak
P1
39.4%
54.1%
P2
40.6%
55.0%
P3
36.4%
54.1%
OT
12.5%
65.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |