Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stepan
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
46.7% (338)
+7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
32.6% (43)
+32.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bozak
Home
54.5% (222)
47.9% (194)
Away
57.2% (222)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Stepan
Bozak
P1
57.5%
40.2%
P2
54.7%
51.4%
P3
55.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%