Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Bozak 56.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 78.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Stepan
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Stepan
Bozak
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Stepan
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Stepan
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Stepan
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
56.5% (1,119)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
58.4% (226)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
50.0% (20)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Stepan shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bozak
Home
46.4% (774)
60.1% (682)
Away
47.7% (748)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Stepan
Bozak
P1
46.7%
57.7%
P2
46.3%
53.7%
P3
48.1%
59.0%
OT
47.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | OT | 02:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |