Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Johnson 51.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Stepan
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Stepan
Johnson
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Stepan
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Stepan
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Stepan
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
51.2% (825)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
56.9% (160)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
51.1% (137)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Stepan shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johnson
Home
46.4% (774)
56.9% (583)
Away
47.7% (748)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Stepan
Johnson
P1
46.7%
55.1%
P2
46.3%
53.0%
P3
48.1%
48.8%
OT
47.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |