Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 62.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Stepan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
61.9% (42)
-7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johnson
Home
54.5% (222)
52.0% (25)
Away
57.2% (222)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Stepan
Johnson
P1
57.5%
72.0%
P2
54.7%
66.7%
P3
55.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%