Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Johnson 50.7% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Stepan
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
47.4% (78)
+7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
57.6% (33)
-57.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
100.0% (2)
-49.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johnson
Home
57.7% (213)
50.9% (57)
Away
50.7% (209)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Stepan
Johnson
P1
56.3%
44.1%
P2
48.9%
59.4%
P3
57.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%