Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Rask 50.4% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Rask 70.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Stepan
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
50.6% (172)
+3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On power play, Rask has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rask
Home
54.5% (222)
53.7% (82)
Away
57.2% (222)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Stepan
Rask
P1
57.5%
56.0%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
55.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%