Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Rask 50.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 31-18 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 73.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Stepan
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
31
(49 meetings)
18
31
Stepan
Rask
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
5
13
Stepan
Rask
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
8
Stepan
Rask
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
10
Stepan
Rask
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.0% (4,428)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.3% (363)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
35.2% (54)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rask
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Stepan
Rask
P1
47.5%
50.7%
P2
45.6%
48.9%
P3
46.8%
50.7%
OT
40.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Victor Rask |