Derek Stepan vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 45-37 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Stepan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
37
(82 meetings)
45
37
Stepan
Karlsson
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
14
10
Stepan
Karlsson
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
20
18
Stepan
Karlsson
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
9
Stepan
Karlsson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.8% (7,849)
-5.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.8% (1,048)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.2% (1,109)
+0.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Stepan
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Stepan
Karlsson
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
45.6%
51.3%
P3
46.8%
52.4%
OT
40.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |