Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Stepan
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
55.3% (897)
+0.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
61.1% (113)
-61.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
50.8% (132)
+0.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Stepan
Karlsson
Home
57.7% (213)
58.6% (560)
Away
50.7% (209)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Stepan
Karlsson
P1
56.3%
55.8%
P2
48.9%
55.6%
P3
57.1%
55.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%