Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Nylander 54.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stepan
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Nylander
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
4
Stepan
Nylander
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
56.5% (324)
-9.7%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
46.5% (43)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
0.0% (1)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Nylander is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nylander
Home
48.6% (666)
57.1% (177)
Away
46.1% (710)
53.4% (191)
By Period
Stepan
Nylander
P1
46.3%
56.4%
P2
50.7%
51.8%
P3
45.5%
56.9%
OT
39.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | William Nylander |