Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Nylander 50.9% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 66.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Stepan
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
49.2% (59)
+5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
100.0% (3)
-35.3%
On power play, Nylander has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Nylander is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nylander
Home
54.5% (222)
48.7% (39)
Away
57.2% (222)
57.7% (26)
By Period
Stepan
Nylander
P1
57.5%
47.8%
P2
54.7%
52.0%
P3
55.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.3%