Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Nylander 47.2% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 73.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Stepan
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
46.0% (50)
+9.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Nylander is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nylander
Home
57.7% (213)
40.6% (32)
Away
50.7% (209)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Stepan
Nylander
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
40.7%
P3
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
42.4%