Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 64.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Stepan
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Stepan
Gourde
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.4% (4,954)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.4% (376)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
39.9% (554)
+4.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Stepan
Gourde
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Stepan
Gourde
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
47.4%
P3
46.8%
47.5%
OT
40.7%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |