Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 54.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stepan
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
49.1% (731)
+5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.3% (81)
-54.3%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
48.2% (85)
+16.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Stepan
Gourde
Home
54.5% (222)
50.9% (479)
Away
57.2% (222)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Stepan
Gourde
P1
57.5%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
49.8%
P3
55.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%