Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Cozens 46.1% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 55.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 52.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Brassard
Cozens
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
45.6% (746)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
50.8% (65)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
34.5% (29)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Brassard
Cozens
Home
52.1% (211)
43.9% (410)
Away
49.6% (119)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Brassard
Cozens
P1
47.3%
46.4%
P2
56.6%
41.6%
P3
47.8%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%