Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Brassard
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brassard
Cozens
Last 5: Brassard 1-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Brassard
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Brassard
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.4% (859)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
49.5% (186)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
39.5% (129)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Brassard
Cozens
Home
51.7% (143)
49.0% (600)
Away
48.3% (143)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Brassard
Cozens
P1
46.4%
46.5%
P2
50.6%
52.9%
P3
53.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |