Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Larkin 46.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Brassard
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Larkin
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Brassard
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
45.5% (391)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
41.4% (29)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.0% (12)
-3.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larkin
Home
53.7% (616)
47.0% (181)
Away
46.1% (609)
44.2% (251)
By Period
Brassard
Larkin
P1
47.2%
42.7%
P2
50.9%
52.4%
P3
51.5%
41.8%
OT
70.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |