Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Larkin 52.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 52.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Brassard
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Brassard
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Brassard
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.8% (903)
-0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
56.0% (225)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.4% (76)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larkin
Home
52.1% (211)
55.6% (662)
Away
49.6% (119)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Brassard
Larkin
P1
47.3%
49.9%
P2
56.6%
52.7%
P3
47.8%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |