Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Larkin 54.1% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 61.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Brassard
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
53.6% (886)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
59.3% (317)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
48.7% (152)
+1.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larkin
Home
51.7% (143)
56.6% (700)
Away
48.3% (143)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Brassard
Larkin
P1
46.4%
55.4%
P2
50.6%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%