Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Beagle 57.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 92.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 61.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 77.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Brassard
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brassard
Beagle
Last 6: Brassard 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Brassard
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Brassard
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
60.3% (735)
-11.3%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
42.9% (7)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
53.9% (256)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Brassard shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Brassard
Beagle
Home
50.5% (543)
61.9% (475)
Away
47.7% (507)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Brassard
Beagle
P1
48.8%
60.5%
P2
49.0%
54.4%
P3
49.6%
61.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2017 | OT | 02:08 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 5, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |