Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 91.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 58.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 77.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Brassard
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Brassard
Beagle
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
5
Brassard
Beagle
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
12
Brassard
Beagle
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Brassard
Beagle
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
57.5% (4,994)
-8.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
60.5% (119)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
54.2% (1,554)
-3.9%
On even strength, Beagle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Brassard
Beagle
Home
50.6% (5,020)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Brassard
Beagle
P1
49.0%
57.4%
P2
49.8%
57.1%
P3
48.4%
56.2%
OT
51.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2017 | OT | 02:08 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 5, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |